webOS is a great mobile operating system! In fact some would argue it's the best mobile operating system available (yes, even when compared against iOS and Android). If you don't believe me, just check out these glowing reviews:
"webOS 2.0 is probably neck and neck with iOS4 when it comes to polish and ease of use, and that's a pretty huge thing for Palm." - Engadget
"webOS was always an impressively slick operating system and it remains ahead of most of the competition in terms of sheer enjoyment to use. This is now also backed up by rapid performance and a wealth of features that again puts it at least on par with the rest." - Trusted Reviews
"webOS 2.0 still has an edge on the competition in certain categories with the advantages it had at launch: best of breed smartphone multitasking, unobtrusive notifications that can let you act on (or ignore) alerts without leaving your current app, convenient management of WiFi and Bluetooth, deeply-integrated web standards, easy development" - PreCentral
Unfortunately this was before HP and before webOS development came crashing to a halt. As a result, instead of writing about how webOS is a serious threat to Apple and Google, we're actually facing the final curtain call, with HP expected to announce the future of webOS within the next couple of weeks. Will they decided to keep it and if so, in what form? or will they cut their loses and sell?
So what will HP decide to do? Honestly, I don't think anyone knows. Although HP are still a technology superpower, they are currently facing an identity crisis regarding their future. These challenges are so big that we have seen them go through leadership at an alarming rate, with new CEO Meg Whitman attempting to steer the ship back on course. In fact only a few weeks ago Whitman held an all staff meeting to outline their plan for webOS, stating -
"It's really important to me to make the right decision, not the fast decision," and that "If HP decides to do this [to keep webOS], we're going to do it in a very significant way over a multi year period."
Although it's great to hear Whitman addressing the webOS issue, her response is far from conclusive. The only positive is that if HP decide to retain webOS then it sounds like they will be willing to invest in its future. This in itself is a bold statement as HP have already reportedly lost over $3.3billion through the Palm acquisition.
So if HP decided to sell webOS, who would actually buy it? A couple of years ago when Palm first went on sale I personally felt it was a great opportunity for someone like Sony, HTC or Cisco to get a serious head start in the mobile operating system market (which every industry analyst is predicting to be massive in the future). Unfortunately I don't think the story is as compelling as it once was, as due to the uncertainty that has surrounded webOS for the past year, the ongoing development has fallen seriously behind. For example, webOS could easily compete against iOS 4.0 and Android 3.0, but both Apple and Google have now released major revisions with some significant new features. Therefore anyone that buys webOS at this point will immediately be playing catch-up against some very strong competition.
The other option is that HP could give webOS to the community, in the form of an Open Source project. This would be great, as anyone could then build webOS devices (just like Google Android). Unfortunately this scenario seems unlikely, but with the recent leadership changes maybe we will see a new HP, more willing to take risks and embrace open source (let's hope so!).
What do I think will happen? If I was a betting man, I would put my money on HP keeping webOS. Personally I think they have already invested too much money to sell (or give away) at this point. However, this does not necessarily mean we will see new mobile devices. Instead I believe HP may look to integrate the best parts of webOS (such as the user interface and touch technology) into their existing products, like printers and scanners.
My dream scenario (although there is almost no chance of this happening) is for Sony to buy webOS from HP. Yes, I realise that sounds mad, but hear me out...
Sony are currently a little lost in the mobile space, they recently bought the rest of Ericsson so they have the hardware capabilities, but they don't have a decent operating system. They can use Android or maybe even Windows Phone, but both Google and Microsoft have already created strategic partnerships with other hardware vendors. Therefore Sony run the risk of becoming a second rate manufacturer, which is not the way to win the war! Now, just imagine Sony hardware (like they used to design) combined with the elegance of webOS! This could be a great device, potentially even rivaling the iPhone in terms of hardware and software integration.
Ok, I'll stop dreaming at this point and face the reality that in the next two weeks we will likely hear HP announce the end of webOS as we know it. At which point it will be down to the fanboys and homebrew community to show the world what could have been. I already have my Palm Pre 2 ready!